Harland & Wolff Welders vs Knockbreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
5º
5º
36
3º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
41 | 9 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 8 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 8 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
53 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 6 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 2
HAR
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HAR
5 - 4
NEY
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 1
INS
70%
18%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DER
2 - 0
HAR
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 0
LOU
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
KNO
1 - 1
DER
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 1
KNO
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
NEY
1 - 1
KNO
66%
19%
16%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KNO
3 - 2
INS
32%
24%
45%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
KNO
0 - 0
DUN
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |