Harkemase Boys vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
4 - 0
HAR
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 0
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GVV
4 - 2
HAR
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 2
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CAP
3 - 0
HAR
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 2
TEL
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
FCE
0 - 2
WIL
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 1
MVV
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
FCD
3 - 2
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
1 - 1
GAE
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |