Harkemase Boys vs Sparta Nijkerk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 4
LIS
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2017 |
LIS
1 - 2
HAR
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
UNA
1 - 3
HAR
43%
23%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 1
UNA
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 3
RIJ
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Nijkerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SPA
3 - 0
PUR
46%
24%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
EXC
3 - 3
SPA
61%
19%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 1
STA
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ASV
0 - 3
SPA
16%
19%
65%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 0
URK
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |