Harkemase Boys vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 1
HAR
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
KAT
5 - 2
HAR
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 2
CAP
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 2
GEN
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
HHC
3 - 2
HAR
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 4
BAR
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ARC
0 - 1
SPA
18%
20%
62%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 2
SPA
24%
23%
53%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 0
GVV
64%
18%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SPA
4 - 4
KAT
67%
18%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |