Tweede Divisie - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 3-5
Harkemase Boys vs Lisse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2017 |
LIS
1 - 2
HAR
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
UNA
1 - 3
HAR
43%
23%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 1
UNA
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 3
RIJ
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CAP
2 - 1
HAR
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2017 |
LIS
1 - 2
HAR
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
LIS
2 - 1
DON
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
DON
2 - 5
LIS
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 0
LIS
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
LIS
3 - 0
DVS
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |