Harkemase Boys vs Flevo Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
VVS
1 - 1
HAR
34%
23%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HAR
3 - 1
DOV
66%
18%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
VVO
0 - 1
HAR
8%
16%
76%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
HAR
6 - 0
USV
66%
18%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
STA
1 - 4
HAR
38%
23%
38%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Flevo Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
GEN
5 - 2
FLE
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FLE
4 - 0
DED
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BUI
0 - 4
FLE
20%
21%
59%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FLE
2 - 0
NOO
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
DET
2 - 3
FLE
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |