Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CAP
3 - 0
HAR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
SCN
2 - 3
HAR
30%
23%
47%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 0
KAT
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 4
CAP
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 3
HAR
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
EXC
4 - 2
ARC
55%
22%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
ACT
1 - 2
EXC
10%
18%
72%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 1
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
EXC
3 - 0
IJS
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CAP
4 - 1
EXC
50%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |