Harkemase Boys vs Capelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 3
HAR
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 2
APE
70%
17%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 1
HOE
69%
18%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 3
HAR
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
5 - 0
GEN
55%
22%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
CAP
4 - 1
EXC
50%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 1
CAP
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CAP
1 - 1
KAT
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 0
CAP
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CAP
2 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |