Harkemase Boys vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 1
HAR
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
HAR
4 - 4
RIJ
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
FLE
1 - 3
HAR
33%
25%
43%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
IJS
2 - 4
HAR
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CAP
0 - 1
HAR
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
GEN
5 - 1
ARC
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ARC
2 - 0
KAT
30%
24%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ARC
1 - 1
BAR
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 0
ARC
82%
12%
6%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
HOE
1 - 0
ARC
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |