Harju JK Laagri vs Tallinna Kalev II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
7º
1º
25
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
80% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 82% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 0
HJP
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HJP
1 - 1
FCT
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HJP
6 - 0
PAI
80%
13%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VJK
2 - 2
HJP
42%
26%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 1
HJP
50%
23%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TKA
3 - 5
PAI
66%
17%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
5 - 2
TKA
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VJK
3 - 1
TKA
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
TKA
0 - 1
TAB
59%
20%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
TKA
1 - 3
LEV
38%
24%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |