Harju JK Laagri vs Tabasalu Charma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
7º
1º
12
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
80% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VJK
4 - 4
HJP
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HJP
3 - 3
TKA
77%
15%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 0
HJP
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HJP
1 - 1
FCT
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HJP
6 - 0
PAI
80%
13%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Tabasalu Charma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
5 - 0
TAB
78%
13%
8%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TAB
2 - 2
FCE
55%
22%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
LEV
5 - 1
TAB
61%
20%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TAB
0 - 3
VJK
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
TKA
0 - 6
TAB
14%
16%
70%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |