Harju JK Laagri vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
10º
10º
48
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 0
HJP
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 2
TRA
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 1
HJP
83%
13%
5%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 1
PAI
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 0
HJP
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TAM
0 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 3
KAL
17%
24%
59%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 3
LEV
10%
21%
69%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
6 - 1
JKJ
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 1
PAR
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |