Harju JK Laagri vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
10º
10º
53
3º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 0
HJP
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HJP
12 - 0
FPC
89%
8%
3%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
HJP
3 - 0
TAM
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 1
KUR
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 1
HJP
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
KUR
0 - 4
PAI
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 2
B36
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
B36
0 - 0
PAI
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 0
FLO
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAI
11%
21%
68%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |