Harju JK Laagri vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
7º
1º
25
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 4
HJP
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LEV
4 - 3
HJP
19%
21%
60%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
HJP
3 - 3
TKA
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
HJP
0 - 0
VJK
57%
22%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 6
HJP
11%
17%
72%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 7
TKA
37%
22%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
PAI
5 - 1
LEV
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VJK
1 - 0
PAI
76%
16%
9%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 2
PAI
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 4
FCE
32%
24%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |