Hard vs Wals-Grünau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FCW
2 - 1
HAR
57%
21%
23%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WAT
3 - 1
HAR
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
SEE
1 - 2
HAR
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 1
SCR
34%
24%
43%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
STJ
1 - 0
HAR
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Wals-Grünau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
WAL
1 - 1
SEE
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SCR
4 - 2
WAL
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
STJ
0 - 2
WAL
62%
20%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
4 - 1
PIN
52%
22%
27%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
KUF
4 - 0
WAL
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |