Hard vs TSV Neumarkt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
WAT
2 - 1
HAR
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 7
HAR
27%
23%
51%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 0
ANI
22%
22%
56%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 4
DOR
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
5 - 2
REI
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
TSV Neumarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
TSV
1 - 1
SVA
21%
23%
55%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
RBJ
4 - 1
TSV
86%
9%
4%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FCH
2 - 2
TSV
26%
23%
52%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
TSV
2 - 1
FCW
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +3 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
TSV
1 - 3
KUF
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -3 |