Hard vs Austria Salzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FCW
2 - 2
HAR
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 0
BIZ
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
TSV
2 - 1
HAR
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
HAR
5 - 1
SCR
46%
23%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 0
HAR
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Austria Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SVA
3 - 0
KIT
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
STJ
4 - 1
SVA
15%
20%
66%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SVA
2 - 0
PIN
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DOR
4 - 2
SVA
17%
20%
63%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
SVA
0 - 5
STR
17%
22%
61%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | -1 |