Hard vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
81.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
ANI
4 - 1
HAR
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 1
PIN
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
KUF
0 - 1
HAR
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 0
SCR
36%
24%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
SVA
0 - 0
HAR
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
STR
0 - 1
MLA
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
STR
2 - 0
MBO
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
STR
1 - 1
FCK
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
STR
2 - 1
CSK
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
VAS
4 - 3
STR
37%
25%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |