Hard vs Reichenau / Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
HAR
3 - 1
BLA
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
KUF
1 - 5
HAR
49%
22%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
HOH
1 - 10
HAR
13%
19%
67%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 1
GRO
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
AXG
0 - 5
HAR
38%
23%
38%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Reichenau / Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
TSV
3 - 1
SPG
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SPG
4 - 2
SEE
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
KUF
4 - 2
SPG
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SPG
6 - 2
BLA
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
HOH
0 - 5
SPG
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |