Hard vs Reichenau / Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ROT
2 - 0
HAR
30%
25%
46%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
HAR
2 - 0
AXG
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
FCH
1 - 1
HAR
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
HAR
2 - 3
ANI
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
BLA
2 - 2
HAR
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Reichenau / Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SPG
0 - 1
WAT
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
SPG
3 - 2
SEE
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ROT
3 - 2
SPG
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
SPG
3 - 3
AXG
43%
25%
32%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
FCH
5 - 1
SPG
56%
23%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |