Hard vs Axams / Götzens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ANI
3 - 0
HAR
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 2
SEE
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
WAT
4 - 2
HAR
51%
23%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
HAR
0 - 1
DOR
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
HAR
2 - 2
KUF
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Axams / Götzens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
AXG
0 - 3
BLA
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ANI
3 - 0
AXG
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SEE
1 - 2
AXG
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
AXG
2 - 2
WAT
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
AXG
2 - 2
DOR
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |