Hard vs Axams / Götzens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
FCH
1 - 1
HAR
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
HAR
2 - 3
ANI
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
BLA
2 - 2
HAR
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
HAR
2 - 1
HAL
71%
17%
11%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
SWB
3 - 0
HAR
81%
14%
5%
|
41 | 72 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Axams / Götzens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
AXG
0 - 1
WAT
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
SPG
3 - 3
AXG
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
AXG
1 - 1
ROT
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
AXG
1 - 0
SEE
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
FCH
1 - 1
AXG
52%
23%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |