Hard vs Schwaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ANI
7 - 0
HAR
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
SCR
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
KIT
1 - 0
HAR
53%
22%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
HAR
4 - 1
WAL
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
KUF
7 - 1
HAR
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SCH
3 - 2
PIN
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
SCH
2 - 2
SCR
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
SCH
0 - 1
STJ
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ANI
0 - 2
SCH
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
KIT
0 - 0
SCH
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |