Hard vs Schwaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 1
HAR
22%
23%
56%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 0
FCW
37%
24%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 7
ANI
14%
19%
67%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -3 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PIN
3 - 0
HAR
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 1
KUF
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 1
USC
47%
23%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
HOH
2 - 2
SCH
27%
22%
51%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 2
SEE
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 4
SCH
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCW
38%
26%
37%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |