Hard vs Schwaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ROT
0 - 8
HAR
9%
18%
73%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 0
BLA
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
HAR
4 - 2
AXG
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ANI
3 - 0
HAR
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 2
SEE
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 2
AXG
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ANI
2 - 1
SCH
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 1
SEE
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
WAT
5 - 1
SCH
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
KUF
2 - 0
SCH
64%
20%
17%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |