Hard vs SW Bregenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
SCR
0 - 0
HAR
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
TSV
3 - 2
HAR
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 1
ANI
19%
20%
62%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AND
4 - 1
HAR
42%
25%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
DOR
1 - 0
HAR
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
SWB
3 - 1
AND
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SWB
0 - 2
SEE
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SCR
2 - 3
SWB
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SWB
1 - 1
STJ
81%
13%
6%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SWB
4 - 2
KUF
43%
23%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |