Hard vs Reichenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SWB
1 - 1
HAR
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 0
STJ
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
KUF
2 - 0
HAR
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 2
RBJ
14%
20%
65%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SCR
0 - 0
HAR
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Reichenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
REI
3 - 5
SVA
32%
22%
46%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FCH
1 - 4
REI
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
REI
5 - 1
TSV
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 0
REI
83%
12%
6%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ANI
1 - 1
REI
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +1 |