Hard vs Reichenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
WAT
3 - 1
HAR
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
HAR
2 - 0
HAL
59%
21%
19%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
HOH
0 - 1
HAR
45%
23%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
HAR
2 - 3
KUF
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
HOH
3 - 1
HAR
33%
24%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Reichenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
HAL
0 - 0
REI
53%
24%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
REI
1 - 0
RBJ
29%
23%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
DOR
2 - 0
REI
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
BLA
0 - 1
REI
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
REI
1 - 3
AXG
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |