Hard vs RB Juniors Salzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
DOR
4 - 1
HAR
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
FCW
2 - 1
HAR
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 2
SVA
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
TSV
4 - 1
HAR
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 2
FCW
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
RB Juniors Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
RBJ
2 - 3
FCW
85%
10%
5%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
SVA
2 - 0
RBJ
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RBJ
5 - 0
SCB
89%
8%
3%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
RBJ
0 - 0
TSV
85%
10%
5%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
WAT
3 - 1
RBJ
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |