Hard vs Pinzgau Saalfelden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SEE
4 - 0
HAR
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 4
SKN
13%
21%
65%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 0
KIT
66%
19%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
STJ
3 - 0
HAR
51%
24%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
USC
0 - 2
HAR
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Pinzgau Saalfelden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PIN
3 - 1
USC
46%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
KUF
0 - 0
PIN
66%
18%
17%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PIN
1 - 1
FCW
32%
24%
45%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
DOR
8 - 1
PIN
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
PIN
3 - 0
SCR
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |