Hard vs Nenzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
40.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
13º
4º
36
3º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 4
HAR
39%
22%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 1
FCH
44%
21%
35%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 2
HAR
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
HAR
6 - 1
BEZ
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
AUS
4 - 1
HAR
28%
21%
51%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Nenzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
NEN
1 - 4
FCH
73%
15%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 0
NEN
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
WOL
0 - 2
NEN
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 3
NEN
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NEN
5 - 3
BRE
92%
6%
2%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |