Hard vs Nenzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
40.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
13º
4º
36
3º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 4
HAR
39%
22%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 1
FCH
44%
21%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 2
HAR
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
HAR
6 - 1
BEZ
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
AUS
4 - 1
HAR
28%
21%
51%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nenzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
NEN
1 - 4
FCH
73%
15%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 0
NEN
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
WOL
0 - 2
NEN
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 3
NEN
49%
21%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NEN
5 - 3
BRE
92%
6%
2%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |