Hard vs Liefering analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SWB
5 - 0
HAR
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 0
TSV
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ANI
3 - 0
HAR
81%
13%
7%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
4 - 0
AND
65%
20%
16%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SVA
5 - 0
HAR
67%
19%
15%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Liefering
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
FCL
3 - 0
SEE
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 25 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SCR
0 - 3
FCL
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 1
STJ
80%
15%
6%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
PIN
0 - 2
FCL
15%
22%
63%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
2 - 0
KUF
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |