Hard vs Kufstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
FCW
2 - 1
HAR
47%
22%
31%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 0
DOR
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SCR
1 - 2
HAR
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 0
ANI
36%
22%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
WAT
3 - 0
HAR
83%
12%
6%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Kufstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
KUF
5 - 1
USC
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
STJ
2 - 2
KUF
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
FCW
5 - 0
KUF
53%
21%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
KUF
0 - 0
DOR
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SCR
3 - 0
KUF
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |