Hard vs Kufstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
45.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SEE
1 - 0
HAR
49%
23%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 2
SKS
45%
22%
33%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
SVA
3 - 0
HAR
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 1
TSV
39%
23%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 3
WAT
17%
19%
64%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Kufstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
KUF
2 - 0
KIT
68%
17%
14%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
GDF
1 - 2
KUF
41%
23%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ANI
1 - 2
KUF
41%
23%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
KUF
3 - 5
DOR
63%
20%
18%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 3
KUF
42%
24%
35%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +2 |