Hard vs Kufstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
41.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
STJ
3 - 1
HAR
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 1
WAL
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FCH
5 - 0
HAR
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 1
SWB
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FCW
3 - 0
HAR
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Kufstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
KUF
2 - 2
WAT
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SCR
2 - 2
KUF
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
KUF
5 - 2
SEE
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
TSV
1 - 1
KUF
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
STJ
2 - 1
KUF
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |