Hard vs Kufstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
56.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
FCL
0 - 0
HAR
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 2
SEE
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
HAR
3 - 2
SWB
18%
20%
62%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +3 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SCR
0 - 0
HAR
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
TSV
3 - 2
HAR
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kufstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
KUF
3 - 4
SEE
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 1
KUF
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SCR
4 - 3
KUF
22%
22%
56%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
KUF
1 - 1
DOR
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
KUF
0 - 2
STJ
77%
15%
9%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |