Hard vs Kufstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
BLA
2 - 3
HAR
22%
22%
57%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
HAR
9 - 3
HOH
89%
8%
3%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 0
HAR
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
SPG
5 - 2
HAR
31%
22%
47%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
HAR
6 - 1
AXG
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Kufstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2010 |
KUF
3 - 1
TSV
64%
19%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
SPG
3 - 3
KUF
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
SEE
4 - 2
KUF
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
KUF
0 - 0
WAT
35%
23%
41%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
KUF
1 - 2
BLA
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |