Hard vs Kufstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2008 |
GRO
2 - 2
HAR
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
SEE
1 - 2
HAR
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
HAR
3 - 1
WAT
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
SPG
1 - 2
HAR
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
HAR
4 - 2
ROT
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kufstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2008 |
KUF
0 - 2
WAT
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
SPG
5 - 3
KUF
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
KUF
4 - 0
ROT
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
AXG
4 - 1
KUF
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
KUF
3 - 2
FCH
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |