Hard vs Innsbrucker AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
KUN
0 - 2
HAR
24%
23%
52%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
HAR
2 - 0
KUF
52%
23%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
GRO
2 - 2
HAR
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
SEE
1 - 2
HAR
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
HAR
3 - 1
WAT
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Innsbrucker AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
IAC
2 - 9
WAT
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
SPG
4 - 2
IAC
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
IAC
2 - 2
ROT
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
AXG
4 - 0
IAC
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
IAC
3 - 2
FCH
16%
20%
64%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | +3 |