Hard vs Hohenems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
HAR
0 - 1
RBJ
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
HAL
0 - 1
HAR
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
AUS
4 - 2
HAR
17%
21%
63%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
HAR
2 - 2
AUS
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
GRO
1 - 1
HAR
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hohenems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
KUF
2 - 0
HOH
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
HOH
1 - 2
BLA
22%
25%
53%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
HOH
0 - 2
RBJ
11%
18%
71%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
RBJ
3 - 0
HOH
83%
11%
5%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
HOH
1 - 1
HAL
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |