Hard vs SV Hall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
HOH
1 - 4
HAR
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2006 |
HAR
3 - 3
RBJ
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
SAL
2 - 5
HAR
14%
22%
64%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
HAR
4 - 3
DOR
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
ROT
1 - 1
HAR
41%
25%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SV Hall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
HAL
2 - 2
RBJ
14%
20%
66%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2006 |
DOR
1 - 2
HAL
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
HAL
0 - 2
BLA
45%
26%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
ZEL
2 - 1
HAL
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
HAL
7 - 0
INN
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |