Hard vs Dornbirn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SEE
3 - 3
HAR
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
USC
1 - 1
HAR
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 4
HOH
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 0
HAR
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 3
SAL
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dornbirn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 1
USC
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
HOH
3 - 4
DOR
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 1
SCH
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 1
DOR
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 0
FCW
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |