Hard vs Dornbirn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
HAR
3 - 1
GRO
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
REI
1 - 2
HAR
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
HAR
3 - 1
ROT
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
FCH
2 - 0
HAR
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
HAR
0 - 1
AXG
76%
16%
9%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Dornbirn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
DOR
1 - 3
AXG
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
SEE
0 - 2
DOR
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
DOR
2 - 1
WAT
17%
21%
62%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +5 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
DOR
4 - 1
IAC
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
KUF
0 - 0
DOR
73%
16%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |