Hard vs Austria Lustenau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LUS
3 - 1
HAR
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2005 |
HAR
2 - 0
REI
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
WAT
3 - 1
HAR
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
HAR
2 - 0
HAL
59%
21%
19%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
HOH
0 - 1
HAR
45%
23%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
REI
4 - 1
AUS
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2005 |
AUS
4 - 1
HAL
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +5 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
RBJ
5 - 1
AUS
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
AUS
3 - 1
DOR
18%
23%
59%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +4 |