Hard vs USK Anif analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AND
4 - 1
HAR
42%
25%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
DOR
1 - 0
HAR
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 2
SVA
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
HAR
3 - 1
WAL
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FCW
2 - 1
HAR
57%
21%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
USK Anif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ANI
1 - 1
SEE
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SCR
0 - 2
ANI
29%
23%
47%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ANI
3 - 0
STJ
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PIN
1 - 1
ANI
16%
20%
65%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ANI
0 - 0
KUF
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |