Hard vs Admira Dornbirn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
13º
4º
44
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NEN
3 - 3
HAR
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HAR
4 - 0
AUS
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FCH
0 - 4
HAR
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
EGG
2 - 4
HAR
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 3
LAU
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Admira Dornbirn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ADM
5 - 2
FCH
76%
13%
10%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 3
ADM
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ADM
5 - 1
AND
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ADM
3 - 1
ALB
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RTB
4 - 0
ADM
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |