Harbour View vs Dunbeholden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
13º
12º
37
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harbour View
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SFS
0 - 2
HAR
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
WAT
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
HAR
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 3
TRI
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
VER
1 - 1
HAR
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
VER
1 - 2
DFC
21%
27%
53%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 0
DFC
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
DFC
2 - 1
WAT
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
DFC
1 - 0
LIO
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
DFC
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |