Harborough Town vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harborough Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 6
HAR
12%
22%
66%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 0
SPO
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
LER
1 - 1
HAR
18%
25%
57%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
QUO
0 - 1
HAR
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 0
AFC
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
AVE
1 - 2
CHM
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CHM
2 - 2
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
DAR
1 - 2
CHM
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TON
1 - 1
CHM
37%
26%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CHM
0 - 0
TAU
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |