Harborough Town vs Avro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harborough Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BED
0 - 1
HAR
12%
22%
66%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 0
LYE
52%
23%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 0
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 1
BFC
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 1
HAR
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Avro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
HAN
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
WID
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
4 - 0
RYL
24%
22%
55%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
KID
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
STA
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |