Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
44.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
MAC
3 - 0
HAP
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2002 |
HAP
2 - 0
BEI
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
PAR
1 - 2
HAP
63%
23%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2002 |
HAP
0 - 0
PAR
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
HBS
1 - 2
HAP
26%
29%
45%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
BOL
2 - 0
ACM
39%
26%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
ACM
0 - 1
INT
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
ACM
0 - 1
RJC
75%
17%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
VNZ
1 - 4
ACM
25%
27%
48%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2002 |
RJC
0 - 1
ACM
27%
27%
46%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |